Systems Thinking for Investment Resilience
Navigate systemic climate risk with non-linear insights
A scenario data platform for professional investors, providing non-linear energy transition & extreme weather insights to strengthen portfolio resilience
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You choose a set of ready-made near term scenario narratives, like those in the 'No Time To Lose' report, or commission bespoke narratives tailored by Trex to your individual investment strategy
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Trex's non-linear models quantify scenario-specific economic impacts and our API enables seamless integration into your existing investment strategy, risk management, and regulatory workflows
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Your scenarios remain decision-useful with directionality tracking and investment opportunity reports produced by our AI-powered markets and news flow monitoring tool
WHY TREX
Most climate scenarios used by investors fail to capture real-world complexity, volatility & uncertainty. Trex reveals the full picture
CURRENT SCENARIOS
Linear analysis which is overly simplistic and provides investors with a dangerous false certainty:
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Transition Risks Misleading
Scenarios that use carbon prices as a proxy for risk don’t capture the diverse range of drivers behind the low-carbon transition, like policies, technological advancements, and geopolitical shifts
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Transition Opportunities Missed
Scenarios based on emissions ignore the significant impact of changing consumer behaviour and market dynamics on sector and firm-level growth prospects
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Tipping Points Ignored
Sudden, irreversible shifts in energy markets or climate systems are not accounted for, yet these events can dramatically reshape the investment landscape
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Physical Tail Risks Overlooked
Impacts of extreme weather events are frequently overlooked with portfolios exposed to high-impact, low-probability 'tail risks'
Trex scenarios help you build portfolios resilient to extreme weather events and positioned to manage both downside & upside transition risks:
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Decision-Useful Narratives
Choose plausible, near-term narratives designed by the experts at Trex to reflect real-world dynamics impacting investments, such as policy shifts and technological innovation
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Fit-for-Purpose Models
Understand the economic and financial impacts of feedback loops, tipping points, and systemic risks & opportunities through Trex's cutting-edge non-linear model suite
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Credible, Reliable Analysis
Act on scenario insights you can trust, developed by Trex's world-leading academics and built on decades of peer-reviewed methodologies
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Comprehensive Data
Benefit from scenario data that is methodologically consistent at both macroeconomic and position-level: 'top-down' and 'bottom-up'
RESEARCH & REPORTS
Globally renowned systems thinkers
Originating from the University of Exeter, we’ve been a leading voice in the field of systems thinking and non-linear modeling for several decades. Read a selection of our collaborative insights on climate and transition scenarios for investors here.
